With The Masters having simply wrapped up, one other main championship could also be the very last thing in your thoughts. But earlier than you recognize it, you’ll blink and the 2021 PGA Championship can be at the doorstep. Only 5 tournaments separate us from the 12 months’s second main. This window of time presents a fantastic alternative to purchase low on a specific participant (or gamers) that you just imagine could peak come the week of May 20-23.
The PGA will happen at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. Last seen in 2012, when Rory McIlroy lapped the sector for the primary of his two PGA Championships, the Ocean Course is an absolute beast of a golf course. McIlroy was ready to overcome many obstacles alongside the best way, together with hitting his tee shot on the threerd gap of his ultimate spherical right into a tree. He would go on to save par and win his first PGA Championship over the likes of David Lynn and Carl Pettersson.
A Pete Dye design, the Ocean Course performs to a par-72, stretching out to practically 7,700 yards. That’s fairly lengthy, even for the world’s greatest. This implies that size will most definitely be an element. Combine that with the ocean “breeze” coming off the Atlantic Ocean which borders the property and these gamers might be in for a impolite awakening. In 2012, wind performed a serious position within the championship and it’s doubtless that it’ll once more 9 years later.
Oddsmakers at PointsBet Sportsbook have already priced up the favorites for the PGA, with Dustin Johnson (+1000) main the best way regardless of lacking the minimize on the Masters. Defending champ Collin Morikawa is listed at +2200, whereas Hideki Matsuyama is listed at +2500 after capturing his first profession main on the Masters.
There can be a slew of storylines heading into the PGA. Can Jordan Spieth full the profession Grand Slam? Will two-time winner Brooks Koepka even be in attendance? Will the Ocean Course convey McIlroy again to his former self? How will Matsuyama comply with his inexperienced jacket triumph? Can one other first-time main winner breakthrough? All of those present intrigue from a viewing perspective, however I’m extra involved with the betting perspective.
Odds to win the PGA Championship (by way of PointsBet)
+1000: Dustin Johnson
+1100: Jon Rahm
+1400: Rory McIlroy
+2200: Collin Morikawa
+2500: Hideki Matsuyama
My technique for a futures guess is to discover somebody a bit additional down the percentages board who I feel will carry out properly within the upcoming weeks. With that in thoughts, I’ll be forgoing these listed above. Of the bunch, Will Zalatoris gives essentially the most thought and rightfully so. You can’t go fallacious with Zalatoris, who simply completed second in his Masters debut, however I’d act rapidly. Zalatoris’ odds of +5000 might be lengthy gone earlier than the week’s finish as a win on the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town, one other Pete Dye design, shouldn’t be out of the realm of potentialities. Instead, I’ll be going with a person who I imagine is extraordinarily undervalued and will proceed to pattern in the fitting path heading into subsequent month’s PGA.
To Win (Odds by way of PointsBet)
Jason Kokrak (+12500): The 36th-ranked participant on the planet is enjoying among the greatest golf of his profession. He’s lengthy off the tee, exact together with his irons, and most not too long ago, he’s grow to be a wizard with the flat stick. While these of you who had been on Kokrak on the Masters should have a bitter style in your mouth from his Forty ninth-place efficiency, I implore you to transfer previous his struggles at Augusta National.
My curiosity in Kokrak is two-fold. The first being the upcoming schedule and his historical past in these explicit occasions. For the primary time in practically a decade, Kokrak won’t be enjoying at Harbour Town Golf Links this upcoming week. While it will be good to see Kokrak play one other Pete Dye design, we will take solace in the truth that he’s gained in strategy in his final eight appearances at Harbour Town. It can also be doubtless that Kokrak will skip the Zurich Classic as he presently shouldn’t be dedicated and and not using a teammate, which is required for the occasion. That leaves us with the Valspar Championship at Innisbrook the week of April 29th.
Kokrak must be a severe contender on the Valspar. It was right here in 2019 the place Kokrak completed runner-up to Paul Casey by one shot. That was simply one in every of his high quality begins at Innisbrook, as others embody a T-8 in 2018, a T-7 in 2015, and a T-14 in 2014. Couple his affinity for the Copperhead together with his present kind and one other run on the Valspar is all however sure.
After the Valspar, it’s doubtless Kokrak performs within the Wells Fargo Championship, earlier than taking every week off to put together for the PGA Championship. He hasn’t had a lot success at Quail Hollow, however most of these struggles may be attributed to a lower than cooperative putter, an outdated weak spot that Kokrak has since become a power.
This is the place we transfer into the second a part of the equation and why I like him for the PGA and that’s merely the state of his recreation. Kokrak had an exceptional Florida swing, which included three top-10 finishes in three begins. A T-8 end on the Arnold Palmer Invitational was sandwiched by T-9 finishes at each the WGC Workday Championship and The Players. Some of these fields, particularly The Players, could arguably be stronger than what we’re going to see on the PGA.
Kokrak gained strokes tee-to-green in every of these begins and adopted them up with a stable efficiency on the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play at Austin Country Club, one other Pete Dye design. The predominant concern for Kokrak is often his brief recreation, however exterior of The PLAYERS Championship, it has held its personal as of late. In principle, his recreation ought to match the Ocean Course like a glove. And if all goes to plan and Kokrak contends in a match earlier than the PGA, his odds at +12500 will appear to be a discount.
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