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The Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club is ready to start tomorrow morning. Making its PGA Tour debut, the course and the comparatively weak discipline it’s internet hosting have been the 2 storylines main as much as the event. This mixture of not figuring out how the course will play and never having the world’s elite teeing it up make approach for a wide-open event.
That performs proper into our palms, particularly when discussing our first-round chief picks. This week at Congaree, 156 gamers are set to play. With the fixed inflow of withdraws that overtook the early a part of this week, we have now extra longshot choices than ordinary. Many of them are viable, a lot of them are certainly not, so hopefully we will precisely decipher between the 2.
It’ll be customary working process in terms of what numbers we shall be taking a look at. Stretching out to just about 7,700 yards and enjoying to a par-71, Congaree ought to reward strong ball-striking. We aren’t reinventing the wheel right here, however that sentiment mixed with sturdy Bermuda grass placing is the spine of our evaluation.
While there was rain within the space main as much as the first-round, Thursday seems to be pristine. With winds maxing out at 10 miles per hour and solely a slight likelihood of thunderstorms within the afternoon, I can’t think about there is a bonus between the morning and afternoon wave. There could also be an opportunity the morning performs a contact simpler as a consequence of extra receptive greens, however I don’t suppose it’ll make a lot of a distinction a method or one other.
The oddsmakers at PointsBet Sportsbook have priced the first-round chief market forward of tomorrow’s Palmetto Championship. There aren’t any surprises on the high of the board with Brooks Koepka and Dustin Johnson main the best way at +1600. When Koepka decides he needs to take a event significantly, he’ll usually get out of the gate quick, so he may very well be one to look at on the high.
Odds to Lead After the First-Round (odds through PointsBet):
+2200: Tyrrell Hatton
+2500: Matthew Fitzpatrick
+2800: Sungjae Im
+3300: Tommy Fleetwood
To Lead After the First-Round (odds through PointsBet):
Keith Mitchell (+5000):
A giant ballpark with Bermuda grass all through the course, insert Mitchell. Last time we noticed the previous Georgia Bulldog he was lacking the minimize on the Charles Schwab Challenge. It was actually only a poor placing show over the primary two days in Fort Worth, however his efficiency in Monday’s U.S. Open qualifier offers motive for optimism.
Playing out of the Atlanta, Georgia last qualifier, Mitchell shot a two-round complete of 7-under and missed qualifying for subsequent week’s championship by one-stroke. He made loads of birdies and even an eagle, however made one too many errors. I determine Mitchell is a bit peeved to come back so near qualifying and truly like his probabilities to start out rapidly much more so due to that.
His final efficiency on a Tom Fazio course got here at Quail Hollow a few month in the past. While not designed by Fazio, his palms have been everywhere in the property in the course of the 2017 redesign. Congaree seems to be a bit extra open than Quail Hollow and never as demanding off the tee, however I do consider the skillsets relevant in Charlotte will translate one state south.
Joseph Bramlett (+8000):
Like Mitchell, Bramlett is coming off a little bit of disappointing day in U.S. Open qualifying. The Stanford alum determined to play at Woodmont Country Club on Monday and should have favored his probabilities getting into. There weren’t too many PGA Tour gamers within the discipline, with Denny McCarthy and Sean O’Hair being the opposite notables in Rockville, Maryland.
At one level, he had gotten to 2-under, solely to falter and miss the qualifying minimize by variety of strokes. I gained’t put an excessive amount of inventory into the end result, as his latest play on the PGA Tour has been encouraging. This is particularly true when diving into his first-round statistics alone.
He’s seemingly been constructive in Strokes Gained: Approach in each first-round of the season, however the remainder of his sport has picked up as of late. Over the final two months, Bramlett has been averaging greater than two-strokes gained tee-to-green on Thursdays. With this in thoughts, his probabilities to guide after Round 1 will possible come down to creating a well timed putt or two.
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Adam Schenk (+10000):
Due to the wide-open nature of this event, we’ll begin the longshot portion of the article a bit sooner than ordinary. When Schenk performs properly in a spherical, he tends to play very properly. While he burned us on the Wells Fargo a month in the past, I’m going again to the properly this week on the Palmetto Championship.
He’s an actual feast or famine choice to be a first-round chief. Going again the final couple of months, it seems that Schenk will both achieve two or extra strokes on strategy or lose that very same quantity to the sector. If that continues to be true at Congaree, Schenk ought to be capable to begin quick given the course that he’s trending from off-the-tee.
Since the RBC Heritage, the driving force has been very cooperative for the previous Purdue Boilmaker. And that proper there’s actually Schenk’s path to guide after Thursday. His around-the-green numbers are poor and his putter may be shaky. If he can ball-strike his approach round Congaree and make a couple of putts, which he’s able to on Bermuda grass, then Schenk can have an outdoor likelihood.
Jason Dufner (+10000):
Dufner was one among many gamers to overlook out on the U.S. Open by means of Columbus, Ohio. Like Rickie Fowler, he too fell one-stroke shy of a playoff to move to Torrey Pines subsequent week. While we may take this as a damaging, what it tells me is that his sport is in fine condition.
His tee-to-green play was spectacular final week at The Memorial, so a strong exhibiting within the Columbus qualifier wasn’t all that stunning. Unfortunately for Dufner, after having a pleasant placing day within the first-round, his flat stick let him down, particularly in Round 3 when he misplaced practically five-strokes on the greens. I’ve stated it earlier than and I’ll say it once more, these rounds will occur with Dufner, we simply have to wish they don’t occur on a Thursday.
Recent Round 1 type means that it gained’t this week (knock on wooden). He’s gained strokes on the greens on three consecutive Thursdays, however has actually but to pair it with an excellent tee-to-green day. All the items of the puzzle have been there over the past couple of months and I’m hoping a brand new, unknown venue could assist Dufner piece them collectively.
J.J. Spaun (+10000):
Many of you could keep in mind Spaun grabbing the early first-round lead on the AT&T Byron Nelson not too way back. The lead was his outright earlier than a protracted eagle putt courtesy of Jordan Spieth dropped on the 18th gap. While that’s the final time that we noticed Spaun, the first-round numbers have been excellent main as much as his play at TPC Craig Ranch.
In reality, over his previous three first-rounds, Spaun is averaging greater than 2.5 SG: Approach. He is coming off a powerful exhibiting on the Hilton Head Island last qualifier. Spaun is thru to Torrey Pines subsequent week, thanks largely to his efficiency in, you guessed it, the first-round. He opened with a 5-under 66 on Monday at Long Cove Club and I’m hoping he’ll be capable to carry a few of that momentum to Congaree.
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