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Top value picks for victory at Augusta National


Rory McIlroy, of Northern Ireland, tees off on the fourth hole during a practice round for the Masters golf tournament.
Rory McIlroy tees off on the fourth gap throughout a Masters observe spherical at Augusta National Golf Club on Wednesday. (Gregory Bull / Associated Press)

The 2021 Masters is being performed lower than 5 months from the earlier main held in November. Which golfers are in kind? Which gamers supply one of the best betting value? Which matchups are finest to wager on?

VSiN experts Wes Reynolds and Matt Youmans give their finest value bets, matchups they like and a breakdown for each participant within the subject.

Best value bets to win the Masters

Jon Rahm (13-1)

Reynolds: A few weeks in the past, Rahm inspired of us to not wager on him for the Masters since he and his spouse, Kelley, have been anticipating their first youngster. Their son, Kepa, was born early Sunday morning and Rahm is at Augusta attempting to win his first main. Five years in the past, Danny Willett and his spouse had their first youngster simply days earlier than the Masters and he went on to win. A nappy issue omen? Perhaps, however Rahm has been slower than normal out of the gate in 2021 largely on account of new sticks (Callaway) within the bag; plus, his placing has not been as much as snuff. However, he did make a few of his normal tough putts at the Match Play and was the one top-seeded group participant to advance into the weekend event earlier than being knocked out within the quarterfinals by Scottie Scheffler.

Rahm remains to be nearly as good because it will get on the planet from Tee-to-Green (second on PGA Tour) and third for Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. He persistently hits a number of greens (sixth in Greens in Regulation) and is 14th for SG: Approach. This will all come all the way down to the flat stick, which has been gradual to catch hearth in 2021. Three straight Top 10-finishes at Augusta ought to be sufficient of an indicator that he’ll possible be close to the highest of the leaderboard come Sunday.

Rory McIlroy (19-1)

Reynolds: McIlroy finds himself out of the Official World Golf Ranking Top 10 for the primary time since 2018. His final win was in November 2019 at the WGC-HSBC Champions. He isn’t taking part in poorly, however he’s not taking part in just like the lad that had 4 main championship victories by age 25. The solely different gamers to perform that feat have been Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods — not dangerous firm to be part of, however that additionally comes with the best of expectations. It has been powerful to focus on what the difficulty is with Rory, but it surely has been clear that he must make some kind of adjustment.

McIlroy has began working with Pete Cowen, who has labored with Lee Westwood, Graeme McDowell, Louis Oosthuizen, Danny Willett, Sergio Garcia, Darren Clarke and Henrik Stenson. McIlroy remains to be one of many world’s finest off the tee, however his iron play has change into shaky along with his normal hit-or-miss placing. No participant, at his finest, performs a extra artistically pleasing sport than McIlroy, however the colours haven’t fairly match collectively on the canvas of late. McIlroy had received 4 majors by age 25, however now at 31, he’s nonetheless looking for that elusive Masters title to finish the profession grand slam. It has been mentioned that it isn’t a matter of if, however when. However, “when” has been six years now.

Last fall, he had 10-1 odds and now he’s nearly double the worth. He has already missed two cuts this season, so he doesn’t are available on nice kind. Nevertheless, he by no means quits at Augusta, as proved final yr. After taking pictures an opening-round 75, he shot 14-under during the last 54 holes. You nonetheless really feel he’s going to get that inexperienced jacket at some level. Is this the time after we least count on it?

Patrick Cantlay (23-1)

Youmans: His physique language is often unfavorable and his demeanor is normally depressing. Appearances apart, there ought to be optimism about Cantlay, who completed within the prime 20 in his final two Masters begins. He has all of the instruments to win.

Brooks Koepka (30-1)

Brooks Koepka

Brooks Koepka watches his shot on the fifth fairway through the first spherical of the Masters on Thursday. (David J. Phillip / Associated Press)

Reynolds: Koepka obtained again to his successful methods for the primary time because the summer season of 2019 with a victory at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February. He additionally tied for second three weeks later within the WGC-Workday at the Concession. Then, he had proper knee surgical procedure on March 16 to take care of a kneecap dislocation and ligament injury and hasn’t performed an occasion since. Koepka is a bit over double the worth he was right here again in November. He has consecutive top-10 finishes right here and has progressively improved his kind at Augusta.

Betting him is a dangerous proposition because of the harm and layoff, however that is a sexy value for a participant who has received 4 main championships over the course of the final 4 years. Furthermore, there’s a sense that he could possibly be taking part in a bit possum right here and he’s more healthy and more healthy than most consider. Koepka can be a participant who notices the whole lot that’s mentioned about him and makes use of it as motivation. He relishes being doubted and will present up massive on the main championship stage.

Tony Finau (39-1)

Reynolds: Many bettors are possible dropping persistence with Finau contemplating he’s the last word “come close” participant and has not garnered a win because the 2016 Puerto Rico Open. He has seven top-10s or higher in his final 11 majors, together with a T-4 at the PGA and a T-8 within the U.S. Open in 2020. He doesn’t have a specific weak spot in his sport, however he can by no means have all features of his sport firing at the identical time. Either he’s nice across the greens and the ball placing is less than snuff, or the tee-to-green sport is impeccable and he can’t make a putt to avoid wasting his life. His value has drifted a bit with two missed cuts in his final three occasions, however he had a end stretch of 4-2-2-2 simply two months in the past, so he’s not that far faraway from prime kind. Finau has a prime 5 and a prime 10 in simply three appearances largely on account of his dominance on the Par 5s (33-under in 48 holes).

Cameron Smith (45-1)

Reynolds: The Australian mullet-man has two top-five finishes right here in simply 4 appearances. Smith grew to become the primary participant in Masters historical past to shoot all 4 rounds within the 60s, and but nonetheless misplaced by 5 strokes to Dustin Johnson. Although final fall’s comfortable situations proved to be the best setup with the bottom scoring in Masters historical past, Smith confirmed that his prime 5 in 2019 was not a one-hit surprise. He isn’t significantly highly effective nor correct off the tee and his ball placing is about common by PGA Tour requirements, however his brief sport could be stellar. Perhaps having these two prime fives in 4 appearances remains to be below the umbrella of coincidence, however a 3rd one could possibly be a sample. Smith additionally posted a T-4 earlier this season at Riviera in opposition to one of many higher fields of the yr, so he’s comfy taking part in with the massive boys.

Sungjae Im (51-1)

Reynolds: Im fielded for second final yr right here in his debut. The South Korean has already been his normal lively self, having performed 10 occasions already in 2021 and making all 10 cuts. Im at the moment ranks No. 6 on the tour for SG: Off-The-Tee and eighth for Driving Accuracy. His placing is strong, however he does want to enhance upon his iron play. Somewhat over a yr in the past, he was one of many world’s hottest gamers, having received the Honda Classic and practically successful in back-to-back weeks earlier than settling for T-3 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Then, COVID-19 stopped tour play for three months and halted his momentum. He went 18 occasions with out a Top 5 end, however what occasion broke that streak? The Masters. While final fall’s situations have been pretty simple, Im doesn’t have the look of a participant who can have one random excessive end at Augusta. He has the look of a participant who might be a prime contender right here for a few years to come back.

Adam Scott (78-1)

Youmans: The Australian excels at Augusta. In his final 11 begins, he has seven prime 20s, highlighted by the Masters win in 2013. Scott ranks within the tour’s prime 20 in driving distance and will make a run for the cash if his putter will get scorching. He’s inconsistent but irresistible at this excessive value.

Reynolds: The 2013 champion has made 11 straight cuts right here at Augusta. Scott has been extra deliberate and selective when it comes to his taking part in schedule. Age 40 has maybe offered {the golfing} mid-life disaster as he’s now extra centered on majors and different larger occasions, with alternatives so as to add these to his trophy case change into extra fleeting. For a few years, the Aussie was a terrific driver of the golf ball and shaky with the flat stick. Now his placing is perhaps essentially the most steady portion of his total sport, though he nonetheless misses his justifiable share of brief putts. This yr, his driver has been horrible as he’s dropping nearly 0.75 strokes per spherical off the tee.

He shot three of 4 rounds within the 60s final trip on a normally tough PGA National course at the Honda Classic. Scott is persistently strong and oftentimes wonderful right here, so he might positively hit the primary web page of the leaderboard at an enormous value.

Joaquin Niemann (82-1)

Reynolds: The 22-year-old from Chile has not made an look right here since he was an newbie in 2018. This is his first look at Augusta as knowledgeable. He was imagined to be within the subject final yr, however withdrew on account of a optimistic COVID-19 check. Niemann is again this yr on account of reaching final season’s Tour Championship. He started 2021 with back-to-back runner-up finishes in Hawaii however has cooled off a bit bit. His sport has only a few weaknesses as he can bomb it off the tee (ninth in Driving Distance), hit loads of greens (tenth in GIR), and make loads of birdies (sixth in birdie common). Experience is the one deficit for him right here at Augusta.

Kevin Kisner (325-1)

Youmans: Bombs away. Kisner lives 20 miles from Augusta, so that is primarily a house sport for him. At these circa odds, a $20 wager would pay $6,500. Why not? It’s a bit lottery ticket and an enormous story to inform if it hits.

VSiN, the Sports Betting Network, affords extra skilled sports activities betting content material in a free every day e-mail at VSiN.com/email.

This story initially appeared in Los Angeles Times.

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